NBA Record: 69-53-2 +26.65 units
5* 1-0 +5 units
4* 0-1 -4.4 units
3* 13-6 +19.05 units
2* 45-37-3 +8.2 units
1* 12-12-1 -1.2 units
4* Bucks -1
2* Clippers pk
2* Hawks -1 and Bobcats -2 (5pt teaser)
MLB Unofficial Action Plays: 10-5-1 +2.98 units
1/2* Indians +115
1/2* Cubs -105
1/2* Nats +115
1/4* Twins -137
1/2* Rays +135
1/2* Brewers -135
1/2* Jays +130
1/2* Padres +155
1/4* Rays RL -130
Saturday, April 10, 2010
Friday, April 9, 2010
4/9
NBA Record: 67-51-2 +26.95 units
5* 1-0 +5 units
4* 0-1 -4.4 units
3* 13-6 +19.05 units
2* 44-36-3 +8.4 units
1* 11-11-1 -1.1 units
2* Mavs +5.5
2* Suns +4.5
Guys, this is a great opportunity to try and middle a game here by shopping your lines. I'm risking only the vig to win 2 units here!
1* Cavs pk (5dimes)
1* Pacers +3.5 (bodog)
MLB Unofficial Action Plays: 9-4-1 +2.93 units
1* Brewers -105
1* Rays +110
5* 1-0 +5 units
4* 0-1 -4.4 units
3* 13-6 +19.05 units
2* 44-36-3 +8.4 units
1* 11-11-1 -1.1 units
2* Mavs +5.5
2* Suns +4.5
Guys, this is a great opportunity to try and middle a game here by shopping your lines. I'm risking only the vig to win 2 units here!
1* Cavs pk (5dimes)
1* Pacers +3.5 (bodog)
MLB Unofficial Action Plays: 9-4-1 +2.93 units
1* Brewers -105
1* Rays +110
Thursday, April 8, 2010
4/8
NBA Record: 67-49-2 +31.35 units
5* 1-0 +5 units
4* 0-1 -4.4 units
3* 13-6 +19.05 units
2* 44-34-3 +12.8 units
1* 11-11-1 -1.1 units
2* Clippers +7
2* Bulls -2
MLB Unofficial Action Plays: 5-4 +0.995 units
1/2* Indians +120
1/2* Twins +110
1/2* Rays/O's over 9 (-120)
1/4* Cubs +165
1/4* O's +150
5* 1-0 +5 units
4* 0-1 -4.4 units
3* 13-6 +19.05 units
2* 44-34-3 +12.8 units
1* 11-11-1 -1.1 units
2* Clippers +7
2* Bulls -2
MLB Unofficial Action Plays: 5-4 +0.995 units
1/2* Indians +120
1/2* Twins +110
1/2* Rays/O's over 9 (-120)
1/4* Cubs +165
1/4* O's +150
Tuesday, April 6, 2010
4/6
We ended our tourney run at 21-11 +21.6 units!! Major events like that are always good money makers since the line is much more influenced by the general public. We'll see the same thing happen here pretty quick with the NBA Playoffs and hopefully we can put together some similar #'s. I'm still finishing the card and working on a BOMB for the NBA. Check back around 6:45 est for the final card. Good Luck!!
NBA Record: 63-48-2 +25.55 units
5* 1-0 +5 units
4* 0-1 -4.4 units
3* 13-6 +19.05 units
2* 40-33-3 +7 units
1* 11-11-1 -1.1 units
2* Grizzlies -4.5 (This was going to be our BOMB, but I'm backing off)
2* Bucks +6
2* Wizards +3
2* Bobcats -4.5
2* Kings/Spurs under 194.5
MLB Unofficial Action Plays: 1-1 +0.5 units
**Reminder: These are not official plays and should be treated as such. Use this info as you see fit**
1/2* Angels -136
1/2* Padres +135
1/2* BoSox RL +145
1/2* Rays/O's under 9
1/2* Giants/DBags over 8
1/4* Brewers -160
1/4* Orioles +205
NBA Record: 63-48-2 +25.55 units
5* 1-0 +5 units
4* 0-1 -4.4 units
3* 13-6 +19.05 units
2* 40-33-3 +7 units
1* 11-11-1 -1.1 units
2* Grizzlies -4.5 (This was going to be our BOMB, but I'm backing off)
2* Bucks +6
2* Wizards +3
2* Bobcats -4.5
2* Kings/Spurs under 194.5
MLB Unofficial Action Plays: 1-1 +0.5 units
**Reminder: These are not official plays and should be treated as such. Use this info as you see fit**
1/2* Angels -136
1/2* Padres +135
1/2* BoSox RL +145
1/2* Rays/O's under 9
1/2* Giants/DBags over 8
1/4* Brewers -160
1/4* Orioles +205
Monday, April 5, 2010
4/5
3-0 +5 units yesterday and nailed another NBA 3* BOMB! We are now 13-6 with those!!
I didn't get around to capping any early games for MLB but I did find one for later this afternoon. Remember, these are only small plays and nothing official so use the information as you see fit. While I do expect to see a profit in the first couple of weeks (or I wouldn't bet it), it will most likely be small as I start to get a feel of how things are going this season. All I can say is be very careful with the opening day home teams and the faves. That doesn't mean just bet the road teams and dogs blindly, nor does it mean you can't find value with the faves and home teams. Typically, the prices on the faves are a little inflated early on and the home teams (opening day) seem to be a little more distracted...that's all. There is plenty of baseball and absolutely no need to rush into it.
For tonight's championship game between Duke and Butler I don't think it's any secret who I like to win the game. I'm still waiting on some info to see how big I will make my play but for right now I definitely lean to Duke. Doing some checking on the total as well. I'll be back.
NCAA Tourney Overall Record 21-10 +22.7 units
5* 0-1 -5.5 units
4* 2-0 +8 units
3* 5-1 +11.7 units
2* 11-7 +6.6 unit
1* 3-1 +1.9 unit
1* Duke -7
Fellas, it definitely looks like the sharp money is with Butler based on what we've seen with the line movement. About 60% of the bets are on Duke but Butler has more money. Since we didn't get the confirmation we were looking for on Duke and I don't like going against the wiseguys all that often, we'll walk away from the tourney guaranteed up over 20 units and only put a unit out there! If you do like Butler tonight you'll be on the sharp side, and I suggest you wait it out and see if the Joes don't come in strong from now till near tip and get your line up to 7.5 and maybe even 8. Good Luck!!
NBA Record: 63-48-2 +25.55 units
5* 1-0 +5 units
4* 0-1 -4.4 units
3* 13-6 +19.05 units
2* 40-33-3 +7 units
1* 11-11-1 -1.1 units
MLB Unofficial Action Plays: 0-1 -0.5 units **All plays will be for 1/2* unless noted**
1* Tigers/Royals over 7 (NOTE: I played this for 1 full unit, not 1/2)
I didn't get around to capping any early games for MLB but I did find one for later this afternoon. Remember, these are only small plays and nothing official so use the information as you see fit. While I do expect to see a profit in the first couple of weeks (or I wouldn't bet it), it will most likely be small as I start to get a feel of how things are going this season. All I can say is be very careful with the opening day home teams and the faves. That doesn't mean just bet the road teams and dogs blindly, nor does it mean you can't find value with the faves and home teams. Typically, the prices on the faves are a little inflated early on and the home teams (opening day) seem to be a little more distracted...that's all. There is plenty of baseball and absolutely no need to rush into it.
For tonight's championship game between Duke and Butler I don't think it's any secret who I like to win the game. I'm still waiting on some info to see how big I will make my play but for right now I definitely lean to Duke. Doing some checking on the total as well. I'll be back.
NCAA Tourney Overall Record 21-10 +22.7 units
5* 0-1 -5.5 units
4* 2-0 +8 units
3* 5-1 +11.7 units
2* 11-7 +6.6 unit
1* 3-1 +1.9 unit
1* Duke -7
Fellas, it definitely looks like the sharp money is with Butler based on what we've seen with the line movement. About 60% of the bets are on Duke but Butler has more money. Since we didn't get the confirmation we were looking for on Duke and I don't like going against the wiseguys all that often, we'll walk away from the tourney guaranteed up over 20 units and only put a unit out there! If you do like Butler tonight you'll be on the sharp side, and I suggest you wait it out and see if the Joes don't come in strong from now till near tip and get your line up to 7.5 and maybe even 8. Good Luck!!
NBA Record: 63-48-2 +25.55 units
5* 1-0 +5 units
4* 0-1 -4.4 units
3* 13-6 +19.05 units
2* 40-33-3 +7 units
1* 11-11-1 -1.1 units
MLB Unofficial Action Plays: 0-1 -0.5 units **All plays will be for 1/2* unless noted**
1* Tigers/Royals over 7 (NOTE: I played this for 1 full unit, not 1/2)
Sunday, April 4, 2010
Happy Easter!
Kaboom! Both 3* BOMBS hit helping us to a 4-1 day +8.9 units and improving our NCAA Tourney record to 21-10 +22.7 units!!! Overall just a great day yesterday and exactly how I wanted to get April kicked off with MLB getting started and the NBA Playoffs ahead of us!
I've posted a couple of action plays for the early tips in NBA but it looks like we may have a 3* BOMB in the making for tonight where we are hitting 67% in the NBA!
I'm not going to start posting anything official for MLB since I always like to see the pitchers get a couple of starts under their belt and the players to work out any early season kinks before I start getting into anything official but I will be passing along my leans/opinions and any small personal action plays I will be taking a position on. I personally only play these for 1/2* or less just for action so only use this information as you see fit. Happy Easter everyone and good luck!!
NCAA Tourney Overall Record 21-10 +22.7 units
5* 0-1 -5.5 units
4* 2-0 +8 units
3* 5-1 +11.7 units
2* 11-7 +6.6 unit
1* 3-1 +1.9 unit
NBA Record: 60-48-2 +20.55 units
5* 1-0 +5 units
4* 0-1 -4.4 units
3* 12-6 +16.05 units
2* 40-33-3 +7 units
1* 9-11-1 -3.1 units
3* Nets/Wizards over 189
1* Celtics -1.5
1* Spurs +5
MLB Unofficial Action Plays: 0-0 +0 unis **All plays will be for 1/2* unless noted**
Yankees +105
I've posted a couple of action plays for the early tips in NBA but it looks like we may have a 3* BOMB in the making for tonight where we are hitting 67% in the NBA!
I'm not going to start posting anything official for MLB since I always like to see the pitchers get a couple of starts under their belt and the players to work out any early season kinks before I start getting into anything official but I will be passing along my leans/opinions and any small personal action plays I will be taking a position on. I personally only play these for 1/2* or less just for action so only use this information as you see fit. Happy Easter everyone and good luck!!
NCAA Tourney Overall Record 21-10 +22.7 units
5* 0-1 -5.5 units
4* 2-0 +8 units
3* 5-1 +11.7 units
2* 11-7 +6.6 unit
1* 3-1 +1.9 unit
NBA Record: 60-48-2 +20.55 units
5* 1-0 +5 units
4* 0-1 -4.4 units
3* 12-6 +16.05 units
2* 40-33-3 +7 units
1* 9-11-1 -3.1 units
3* Nets/Wizards over 189
1* Celtics -1.5
1* Spurs +5
MLB Unofficial Action Plays: 0-0 +0 unis **All plays will be for 1/2* unless noted**
Yankees +105
Saturday, April 3, 2010
Final Four
We finished another winning month with March picking up a little over 12 units. Nothing huge, but even 12 units of profit per month when our average play is 2 units is pretty darn good and would help me to more than double my bankroll year after year. Name me another investment that comes close to that!
On to the Final Four...The books are getting pretty even money coming in on both sides in each of the games as well as the over/under. The faves and the overs are a touch heavier which is to be expected in such high profile games where everyone wants to have a little stake in the games but nothing big enough for the books to move their lines in a significant way.
We are going to be stepping out on both games today and dropping 3* BOMBS in both match ups. Guys, the bottom line here is both games are essentially pick the winner games and in my opinion we have 2 superior teams...Duke and Butler. I'm not buying the "home court" advantage for Butler, but the familiarity of sleeping in their own beds and just being "home" does factor into the play. I hate to go against arguably the best coach in college hoops, Izzo, and the experience of this Spartan squad but Butler is just flat out the better team here. Look at it this way...Northern Iowa (my alma mater) beats Michigan State in most cases without Lucas. They just happened to have won the biggest game in the school's history a few days prior and ended up playing one of their worst games of the year against Sparty. They played terrible, missed free throws, missed uncontested lay-ups and flat out just let their nerves and the hype get to them yet it was a 2 point game with under 2 minutes left to go when Adam Koch (UNI's best player and almost 84% FT shooter) misses both free throws and then allows Michigan St to go down and make a bucket putting them up 4 with under a minute. Now we look at MSU's game in which Lucious had to hit a buzzer beater to get by Maryland. Or the 3 point win over New Mexico St. Or the melt down by Tennessee which allowed Sparty to squeak out a 1 point win. Fellas, this team has not won these games...the other teams lost them. Butler on the other hand has shown me a ton in regards to their mental ability to win games. They blew big leads in their Cuse and K-State games in which they could have easily succumb to the pressure of going up against 2 of the best teams in the nation...but they didn't! They allowed the comebacks, but regrouped in each case to go on and take back control and win the game. This speaks volumes! Butler is just flat out a better team than Sparty and with what they've shown me already in the tourney, they won't falter down the stretch like the 3 other teams Michigan St was lucky enough to encounter.
Moving on to Duke. I think you already know how I feel about this team since they were my prediction to cut down the nets before the tourney started. Too many people wrote off Duke and believed they were overrated all year long. This couldn't be further from the truth! This Duke team is typical of past teams except they actually have the post players this year. And with what I saw from Duke against Baylor's zone and team length, Duke should have no problem finding their shots against WV's zone. Matter of fact...if Duke would have made their open looks against Baylor it would have never even been a close game. And if WV wants to try and play man...good luck matching up with them. Again, we have a team that is just flat out better than it's opponent, has more experience, physically healthy and with a better coach...I'll take the Dukies laying a bucket!
NCAA Tourney Overall Record 19-10 +16.7 units
5* 0-1 -5.5 units
4* 2-0 +8 units
3* 3-1 +5.7 units
2* 11-7 +6.6 unit
1* 3-1 +1.9 unit
3* Butler -1
3* Duke -2
NBA Record: 60-48-2 +17.65 units
5* 1-0 +5 units
4* 0-1 -4.4 units
3* 12-6 +16.05 units
2* 38-33-3 +3 units
1* 9-10-1 -2 units
2* Bucks -2
2* Nets +3 (-105)
1* Kings +8
On to the Final Four...The books are getting pretty even money coming in on both sides in each of the games as well as the over/under. The faves and the overs are a touch heavier which is to be expected in such high profile games where everyone wants to have a little stake in the games but nothing big enough for the books to move their lines in a significant way.
We are going to be stepping out on both games today and dropping 3* BOMBS in both match ups. Guys, the bottom line here is both games are essentially pick the winner games and in my opinion we have 2 superior teams...Duke and Butler. I'm not buying the "home court" advantage for Butler, but the familiarity of sleeping in their own beds and just being "home" does factor into the play. I hate to go against arguably the best coach in college hoops, Izzo, and the experience of this Spartan squad but Butler is just flat out the better team here. Look at it this way...Northern Iowa (my alma mater) beats Michigan State in most cases without Lucas. They just happened to have won the biggest game in the school's history a few days prior and ended up playing one of their worst games of the year against Sparty. They played terrible, missed free throws, missed uncontested lay-ups and flat out just let their nerves and the hype get to them yet it was a 2 point game with under 2 minutes left to go when Adam Koch (UNI's best player and almost 84% FT shooter) misses both free throws and then allows Michigan St to go down and make a bucket putting them up 4 with under a minute. Now we look at MSU's game in which Lucious had to hit a buzzer beater to get by Maryland. Or the 3 point win over New Mexico St. Or the melt down by Tennessee which allowed Sparty to squeak out a 1 point win. Fellas, this team has not won these games...the other teams lost them. Butler on the other hand has shown me a ton in regards to their mental ability to win games. They blew big leads in their Cuse and K-State games in which they could have easily succumb to the pressure of going up against 2 of the best teams in the nation...but they didn't! They allowed the comebacks, but regrouped in each case to go on and take back control and win the game. This speaks volumes! Butler is just flat out a better team than Sparty and with what they've shown me already in the tourney, they won't falter down the stretch like the 3 other teams Michigan St was lucky enough to encounter.
Moving on to Duke. I think you already know how I feel about this team since they were my prediction to cut down the nets before the tourney started. Too many people wrote off Duke and believed they were overrated all year long. This couldn't be further from the truth! This Duke team is typical of past teams except they actually have the post players this year. And with what I saw from Duke against Baylor's zone and team length, Duke should have no problem finding their shots against WV's zone. Matter of fact...if Duke would have made their open looks against Baylor it would have never even been a close game. And if WV wants to try and play man...good luck matching up with them. Again, we have a team that is just flat out better than it's opponent, has more experience, physically healthy and with a better coach...I'll take the Dukies laying a bucket!
NCAA Tourney Overall Record 19-10 +16.7 units
5* 0-1 -5.5 units
4* 2-0 +8 units
3* 3-1 +5.7 units
2* 11-7 +6.6 unit
1* 3-1 +1.9 unit
3* Butler -1
3* Duke -2
NBA Record: 60-48-2 +17.65 units
5* 1-0 +5 units
4* 0-1 -4.4 units
3* 12-6 +16.05 units
2* 38-33-3 +3 units
1* 9-10-1 -2 units
2* Bucks -2
2* Nets +3 (-105)
1* Kings +8
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