Friday, April 30, 2010

4/30

Just a reminder...after today I won't be posting again until either May 9th or 10th. Good Luck!!


MLB 37-40 -1.94 units
5* 1-0 +5 units
4* 1-0 +4.2 units
3* 4-3 +1.35 units
2* 20-21 -9.34 units
1* 11-16 -3.15 units

2* Cards RL +105
2* Giants -132
2* Tigers +105
2* Cards/Dodgers Parlay +110
1* DBags +145




NBA Playoffs 20-9-1 +27.3 units
3* 5-0 +15 units
2* 14-6 +14.6 units
1* 1-3-1 -2.3 units

3* Nuggets +6.5

Thursday, April 29, 2010

4/29

Gotta love a 5* BOMB cashing in the 3rd inning and an NBA Sweep including another 3* BOMB where we are 5-0 in the playoffs!! We're back in the black in MLB and with today and tomorrow my last days posting until probably May 10th, lets not give anything back. We'll look to finish up April strong and see if we can't eclipse the +30 unit mark.

MLB 37-38 +1.46 units
5* 1-0 +5 units
4* 1-0 +4.2 units
3* 4-3 +1.35 units
2* 20-20 -6.94 units
1* 11-15 -2.15 units

2* A's/Jays under 7.5 (-120)
1* O's +120 (1st 5 innings)



NBA Playoffs 19-9-1 +25.3 units
3* 5-0 +15 units
2* 13-6 +12.6 units
1* 1-3-1 -2.3 units

2* Suns +1

Wednesday, April 28, 2010

4/28

We finally met our match last night in the NBA Playoffs. In hindsight I probably should have laid off the Thunder in that situation. It was one of those times where I felt good about the young kids playing with confidence...not over confidence. Young teams tend to perform really well in that spot or really bad. Guessing which team is going to show up isn't a winning proposition and should have been a no play. I guess I got a little over confident myself with the way we've been destroying the playoffs. No doubt about it...trying to beat the books just isn't going to happen every night and can be very humbling even in the middle of a 70% run. We'll go right back to work and see if we can't make up for last night with a big one tonight! Good Luck!!

It looks like we found a spot for our first 5* BOMB in MLB! Fly ball pitcher in Smith and a very mediocre Benson for the DBags to go with a VERY stiff wind headin out to right center and the temp in the mid 70's. Let's cash this!!

MLB 33-37 -7.49 units
4* 1-0 +4.2 units
3* 4-3 +1.35 units
2* 18-19 -9.04 units
1* 10-15 -4 units

5* Rockies/DBags over 11 (-120)
2* Reds +105
2* Tigers -110
2* O's RL +130
1* Nats +185





NBA Playoffs 17-9-1 +20.3 units
3* 4-0 +12 units
2* 12-6 +10.6 units
1* 1-3-1 -2.3 units

3* Hawks/Bucks under 192
2* Nuggets -7

Tuesday, April 27, 2010

4/27

MLB 30-32 -7.39 units
4* 1-0 +4.2 units
3* 3-3 -1.65 units
2* 17-18 -9.24 units
1* 9-11 -0.7 units

3* Twins -105
2* Nats +140
2* Phils -130
1* Marlins -130
1* DBags +190
1* A's +162
1* Brewers/Pirates over 9 (-115)
1* Reds/Stros over 9 (+100)



NBA Playoffs 16-6-1 +26.0 units
3* 4-0 +12 units
2* 12-3 +17.3 units
1* 0-3-1 -3.3 units

2* Spurs +5
2* Thunder +6.5
2* Spurs +10 and Thunder +11.5 (5pt teaser)
1* Bulls +12.5

Monday, April 26, 2010

4/26

4* BOMB on the Mets cashes as the rain out worked in our favor. I swear, every time I'm on a game involved in a rain out it goes against me. After going 4-1 yesterday in MLB, maybe that's our sign of things to come. Lebron pretty much destroyed any chance we had with the Bulls yesterday but even after going 1-2 we're still ripping off winners at a 71% clip and up +23 units!!


MLB 26-28 -4.39 units
4* 1-0 +4.2 units
3* 3-3 -1.65 units
2* 16-15 -5.14 units
1* 6-10 -1.8 units

2* Jays +130
2* Braves -105
2* DBags -105
2* Nats +145
1* Royals RL -110
1* Dodgers -130
1* Tigers +125
1* Brewers RL +100
1* Rockies/DBags over 9 (-115)
1* Brewers/Phils/Angels parlay +280


NBA Playoffs 15-6-1 +23.0 units
3* 3-0 +9 units
2* 12-3 +17.3 units
1* 0-3-1 -3.3 units

3* Suns/Blazers under 205

Sunday, April 25, 2010

OUCH! MLB just destroyed us yesterday and put a really big damper on things after going 4-1 in the NBA. Let's continue to destroy the NBA Playoffs and see if we can't be a little more selective with MLB until we really get things turned around.

I know things haven't been great in MLB and the last thing I want to do right now is release a big play, but just b/c of a few blown leads or offenses not taking advantage of their opportunities I can't completely back off. Let's see if we can cash this 4* BOMB and start our big run!!


MLB 22-27 -12.69 units
3* 3-3 -1.65 units
2* 13-14 -9.24 units
1* 6-10 -1.8 units

4* Mets +105
2* Padres -105
2* A's -125
2* Angels +110
2* Phils/DBags over 11 (-110)



NBA Playoffs 14-4-1 +25.4 units
3* 3-0 +9 units
2* 11-1 +19.7 units
1* 0-3-1 -3.3 units

2* Jazz -2
2* Bulls +6
2* Bulls/Cavs under 195

Saturday, April 24, 2010

4/24

Another winning day in both the MLB and NBA Playoffs with a 4-0 sweep of our 2* plays! Even got us a +220 winner on the Jays! Looks like we may have a 3* BOMB on tap for Saturday. Be back in a couple hours.

Just a heads up...be careful with the Braves today. The Dodgers look good, but the price is just too high for me now and my numbers don't support a RL play. I lean towards the Padres as well, but it looks like we're gonna just go with an early total. I've loaded the 3* MLB BOMB for today, but a few things are shakin out and we just may have another one!




MLB 21-20 -1.57 units
3* 2-2 +0 units
2* 13-12 -3.82 units
1* 6-6 +2.25 units

3* A's -155
3* Cubs/Brewers under 9 (-120)
2* Cards -146
2* Nats/Dodgers over 8.5 (-125)
1* O's +180
1* Tigers +165
1* Mariners -105
1* DBags +105



NBA Playoffs 10-3-1 +18.5 units
3* 3-0 +9 units
2* 7-1 +11.7 units
1* 0-2-1 -2.2 units

2* Thunder pk
2* Bucks -1
2* Blazers +3 (-115)
2* Blazers +8 and Thunder +5 (5pt teaser)
1* Bobcats +2.5

Friday, April 23, 2010

4/23

KaBOOOOM! Another 3* NBA BOMB WINNER! We're hitting 80% in the NBA Playoffs right now and up +15.6 units! MLB found us a winning day picking up almost 2 units. I'll be back later with tonight's plays. Good Luck!!


MLB 18-19 -4.82 units
3* 2-2 +0 units
2* 11-12 -6.12 units
1* 5-5 +1.3 units

***Rangers play has been canceled due to pitching change***
2* Nats +115
2* Royals/Twins over 9.5 (-120)
1* Rockies -110
1* Jays +220
1* Yanks -125
1* BoSox/Rockies parlay +175





NBA Playoffs 8-2-1 +15.6 units
3* 3-0 +9 units
2* 5-1 +7.7 units
1* 0-1-1 -1.1 units

2* Spurs -3.5
2* Mavs/Spurs under 194
1* Heat -4

Thursday, April 22, 2010

4/22

Well the NBA Playoffs have been stellar like I expected (although 7-1 is better than I'd hoped for). Anytime we have high profile events like the playoffs, NCAA tourney, bowl games etc. we can usually find some good value based on public perception. Since we have even more Joe's on the games, they influence the line even more in these situations. We'll see the same thing come MLB playoff time and just as we've been able to do in every post season, we should make a nice chunk of profit in a short amount of time.

MLB has been tough so far, but I'm confident it will turn around pretty quick. The more #'s we get under our belt, the better off we'll be. At this point in the game (28 plays) we've only just scratched the surface on the season. 6.5 units is really nothing we can't make up in a day or two considering the number of games available to us. Just sit tight and we'll have us a good 30 day stretch where we net about 50 units and get our bankroll built up.


MLB 13-15 -6.55 units
3* 2-2 +0 units
2* 8-10 -7.3 units
1* 3-3 +0.75 units

2* Tigers -108
2* Rays -105
2* Stros -101
2* Braves -140
2* Reds/Dodgers over 9.5 (-115)
1* A's +165
1* Nats +160
1* Pirates RL -110
1* Rays/WSox over 8 (-110)



NBA Playoffs 7-1-1 +14.9 units
3* 2-0 +6 units
2* 5-0 +10 units
1* 0-1-1 -1.1 units

3* Thunder -3.5 (-105)
2* Blazers +6 and Bulls +10 (5pt teaser)

Wednesday, April 21, 2010

4/21

MLB 10-13 -9.05 units
3* 1-2 -3 units
2* 6-8 -6.8 units
1* 3-3 +0.75 units

3* Dodgers -125
2* Phils -150
2* Padres -120
2* WSox -110
2* Dogers/Reds under 9 (-115)




NBA Playoffs 6-0-1 +12.9 units
3* 2-0 +6 units
2* 4-0 +8 units
1* 0-1-1 -1.1 units

2* Magic -9

Tuesday, April 20, 2010

4/20

MLB 7-8 -3.17 units
3* 1-1 +0 units
2* 4-5 -3.92 units
1* 2-2 +0.75 units

3* Pirates +110
2* Giants -120
2* Jays -150
2* Marlins -110
2* Mets -105
2* Dodgers -134
1* Rockies -150
1* Cards/DBags under 8.5 (+105)



NBA Playoffs 2-0-1 +4 units
3* 1-0 +3 units
2* 3-0 +6 units
1* 0-1-1 -1.1 units

3* Thunder +6
2* Celtics -1

Monday, April 19, 2010

4/19

MLB 4-6 -3.82 units
3* 1-1 +0 units
2* 2-3 -3.32 units
1* 1-2 -0.5 units

2* Rockies -145
2* Royals +105
2* Angels -175
2* Padres +115
1* Cards RL +125


NBA Playoffs 2-0-1 +4 units
2* 2-0 +4 units
1* 0-0-1 +0 units

3* Bulls +11
2* Jazz +7
1* Jazz/Nuggets under 213

Sunday, April 18, 2010

4/18

MLB 2-5 -4.42 units
3* 1-0 +3 units
2* 1-3 -5.32 units
1* 0-2 -2.1 units

3* Mariners +118
2* Dodgers -162
1* O's +160


NBA Playoffs 0-0 +0 units

2* Blazers +9
2* Bobcats +10
1* Magic/Bobcats under 187

Friday, April 16, 2010

4/16

MLB 0-1 -2.3 units
2* 0-1 -2.3 units

3* Twins -127
2* WSox -136
2* WSox/Indians under 9 (-115)
2* Brewers/Nats over 9 (-115)
1* Jays +102
1* DBags -110
1* BoSox/Mariners/Phils parlay +250

Wednesday, April 14, 2010

4/14

MLB Unofficial Action Plays: 19-18-1 +0.6 units

1/2* Angels +180
1/2* Rays -150
1/2* Angels/Yanks under 10 (-110)
1/4* Twins/BoSox under 9 (-110)

1/2* Marlins -130
1/2* WSox -120
1/2* Cards/Stros over 8 (-115)
1/2* DBags/Dodgers over 8 (-120)

1/2* Indians -110


MLB 0-0 +0 units
2* Phils/Nats under 10 (-115) **This will be our first 2* of the season**




NBA Record: 73-55-2 +28.05 units
5* 1-0 +5 units
4* 0-2 -8.8 units
3* 13-6 +19.05 units
2* 49-38-3 +14 units
1* 12-12-1 -1.2 units

2* Wizards +2
2* Sixers +11
2* Jazz -6
2* Bobcats +2.5
2* Cavs +5

Tuesday, April 13, 2010

4/13

MLB Unofficial Action Plays: 18-15-1 +2.95 units

1* Royals +120
1* A's -130
1/2* Royals/Tigers under 9.5
1/2* Jays -108




NBA Record: 73-55-2 +28.05 units
5* 1-0 +5 units
4* 0-2 -8.8 units
3* 13-6 +19.05 units
2* 49-38-3 +14 units
1* 12-12-1 -1.2 units

Monday, April 12, 2010

4/12

MLB Unofficial Action Plays: 16-12-1 +3.53 units

1* Rangers -125
1* Phils/Nats under 9 (+100)
1/2* Stros RL -115
1/2* Twins RL -140
1/2* Nats +245


NBA Record: 73-54-2 +30.25 units
5* 1-0 +5 units
4* 0-2 -8.8 units
3* 13-6 +19.05 units
2* 49-37-3 +16.2 units
1* 12-12-1 -1.2 units

2* Nets +5

Sunday, April 11, 2010

4/11

MLB Unofficial Action Plays: 15-9-1 +3.73 units

1* Tigers and BoSox parlay +135
1/2* Dodgers +138
1/2* Tigers RL +105

1/2* O's -110

**Just a head's up. Be very careful with the Yanks today. They look very tempting, but something isn't right.**


NBA Record: 71-54-2 +26.25 units
5* 1-0 +5 units
4* 0-2 -8.8 units
3* 13-6 +19.05 units
2* 47-37-3 +12.2 units
1* 12-12-1 -1.2 units

2* Bulls -2.5
2* Blazers +3

Saturday, April 10, 2010

4/10

NBA Record: 69-53-2 +26.65 units
5* 1-0 +5 units
4* 0-1 -4.4 units
3* 13-6 +19.05 units
2* 45-37-3 +8.2 units
1* 12-12-1 -1.2 units

4* Bucks -1
2* Clippers pk
2* Hawks -1 and Bobcats -2 (5pt teaser)


MLB Unofficial Action Plays: 10-5-1 +2.98 units


1/2* Indians +115
1/2* Cubs -105
1/2* Nats +115
1/4* Twins -137

1/2* Rays +135
1/2* Brewers -135
1/2* Jays +130
1/2* Padres +155
1/4* Rays RL -130

Friday, April 9, 2010

4/9

NBA Record: 67-51-2 +26.95 units
5* 1-0 +5 units
4* 0-1 -4.4 units
3* 13-6 +19.05 units
2* 44-36-3 +8.4 units
1* 11-11-1 -1.1 units

2* Mavs +5.5
2* Suns +4.5

Guys, this is a great opportunity to try and middle a game here by shopping your lines. I'm risking only the vig to win 2 units here!
1* Cavs pk (5dimes)
1* Pacers +3.5 (bodog)


MLB Unofficial Action Plays: 9-4-1 +2.93 units

1* Brewers -105
1* Rays +110

Thursday, April 8, 2010

4/8

NBA Record: 67-49-2 +31.35 units
5* 1-0 +5 units
4* 0-1 -4.4 units
3* 13-6 +19.05 units
2* 44-34-3 +12.8 units
1* 11-11-1 -1.1 units

2* Clippers +7
2* Bulls -2


MLB Unofficial Action Plays: 5-4 +0.995 units

1/2* Indians +120
1/2* Twins +110
1/2* Rays/O's over 9 (-120)
1/4* Cubs +165
1/4* O's +150

Tuesday, April 6, 2010

4/6

We ended our tourney run at 21-11 +21.6 units!! Major events like that are always good money makers since the line is much more influenced by the general public. We'll see the same thing happen here pretty quick with the NBA Playoffs and hopefully we can put together some similar #'s. I'm still finishing the card and working on a BOMB for the NBA. Check back around 6:45 est for the final card. Good Luck!!

NBA Record: 63-48-2 +25.55 units
5* 1-0 +5 units
4* 0-1 -4.4 units
3* 13-6 +19.05 units
2* 40-33-3 +7 units
1* 11-11-1 -1.1 units

2* Grizzlies -4.5 (This was going to be our BOMB, but I'm backing off)
2* Bucks +6
2* Wizards +3
2* Bobcats -4.5
2* Kings/Spurs under 194.5


MLB Unofficial Action Plays: 1-1 +0.5 units
**Reminder: These are not official plays and should be treated as such. Use this info as you see fit**

1/2* Angels -136
1/2* Padres +135
1/2* BoSox RL +145
1/2* Rays/O's under 9
1/2* Giants/DBags over 8
1/4* Brewers -160
1/4* Orioles +205

Monday, April 5, 2010

4/5

3-0 +5 units yesterday and nailed another NBA 3* BOMB! We are now 13-6 with those!!

I didn't get around to capping any early games for MLB but I did find one for later this afternoon. Remember, these are only small plays and nothing official so use the information as you see fit. While I do expect to see a profit in the first couple of weeks (or I wouldn't bet it), it will most likely be small as I start to get a feel of how things are going this season. All I can say is be very careful with the opening day home teams and the faves. That doesn't mean just bet the road teams and dogs blindly, nor does it mean you can't find value with the faves and home teams. Typically, the prices on the faves are a little inflated early on and the home teams (opening day) seem to be a little more distracted...that's all. There is plenty of baseball and absolutely no need to rush into it.

For tonight's championship game between Duke and Butler I don't think it's any secret who I like to win the game. I'm still waiting on some info to see how big I will make my play but for right now I definitely lean to Duke. Doing some checking on the total as well. I'll be back.

NCAA Tourney Overall Record 21-10 +22.7 units
5* 0-1 -5.5 units
4* 2-0 +8 units
3* 5-1 +11.7 units
2* 11-7 +6.6 unit
1* 3-1 +1.9 unit

1* Duke -7
Fellas, it definitely looks like the sharp money is with Butler based on what we've seen with the line movement. About 60% of the bets are on Duke but Butler has more money. Since we didn't get the confirmation we were looking for on Duke and I don't like going against the wiseguys all that often, we'll walk away from the tourney guaranteed up over 20 units and only put a unit out there! If you do like Butler tonight you'll be on the sharp side, and I suggest you wait it out and see if the Joes don't come in strong from now till near tip and get your line up to 7.5 and maybe even 8. Good Luck!!

NBA Record: 63-48-2 +25.55 units
5* 1-0 +5 units
4* 0-1 -4.4 units
3* 13-6 +19.05 units
2* 40-33-3 +7 units
1* 11-11-1 -1.1 units




MLB Unofficial Action Plays: 0-1 -0.5 units **All plays will be for 1/2* unless noted**

1* Tigers/Royals over 7 (NOTE: I played this for 1 full unit, not 1/2)

Sunday, April 4, 2010

Happy Easter!

Kaboom! Both 3* BOMBS hit helping us to a 4-1 day +8.9 units and improving our NCAA Tourney record to 21-10 +22.7 units!!! Overall just a great day yesterday and exactly how I wanted to get April kicked off with MLB getting started and the NBA Playoffs ahead of us!

I've posted a couple of action plays for the early tips in NBA but it looks like we may have a 3* BOMB in the making for tonight where we are hitting 67% in the NBA!

I'm not going to start posting anything official for MLB since I always like to see the pitchers get a couple of starts under their belt and the players to work out any early season kinks before I start getting into anything official but I will be passing along my leans/opinions and any small personal action plays I will be taking a position on. I personally only play these for 1/2* or less just for action so only use this information as you see fit. Happy Easter everyone and good luck!!

NCAA Tourney Overall Record 21-10 +22.7 units
5* 0-1 -5.5 units
4* 2-0 +8 units
3* 5-1 +11.7 units
2* 11-7 +6.6 unit
1* 3-1 +1.9 unit



NBA Record: 60-48-2 +20.55 units
5* 1-0 +5 units
4* 0-1 -4.4 units
3* 12-6 +16.05 units
2* 40-33-3 +7 units
1* 9-11-1 -3.1 units

3* Nets/Wizards over 189
1* Celtics -1.5
1* Spurs +5


MLB Unofficial Action Plays: 0-0 +0 unis **All plays will be for 1/2* unless noted**

Yankees +105

Saturday, April 3, 2010

Final Four

We finished another winning month with March picking up a little over 12 units. Nothing huge, but even 12 units of profit per month when our average play is 2 units is pretty darn good and would help me to more than double my bankroll year after year. Name me another investment that comes close to that!

On to the Final Four...The books are getting pretty even money coming in on both sides in each of the games as well as the over/under. The faves and the overs are a touch heavier which is to be expected in such high profile games where everyone wants to have a little stake in the games but nothing big enough for the books to move their lines in a significant way.

We are going to be stepping out on both games today and dropping 3* BOMBS in both match ups. Guys, the bottom line here is both games are essentially pick the winner games and in my opinion we have 2 superior teams...Duke and Butler. I'm not buying the "home court" advantage for Butler, but the familiarity of sleeping in their own beds and just being "home" does factor into the play. I hate to go against arguably the best coach in college hoops, Izzo, and the experience of this Spartan squad but Butler is just flat out the better team here. Look at it this way...Northern Iowa (my alma mater) beats Michigan State in most cases without Lucas. They just happened to have won the biggest game in the school's history a few days prior and ended up playing one of their worst games of the year against Sparty. They played terrible, missed free throws, missed uncontested lay-ups and flat out just let their nerves and the hype get to them yet it was a 2 point game with under 2 minutes left to go when Adam Koch (UNI's best player and almost 84% FT shooter) misses both free throws and then allows Michigan St to go down and make a bucket putting them up 4 with under a minute. Now we look at MSU's game in which Lucious had to hit a buzzer beater to get by Maryland. Or the 3 point win over New Mexico St. Or the melt down by Tennessee which allowed Sparty to squeak out a 1 point win. Fellas, this team has not won these games...the other teams lost them. Butler on the other hand has shown me a ton in regards to their mental ability to win games. They blew big leads in their Cuse and K-State games in which they could have easily succumb to the pressure of going up against 2 of the best teams in the nation...but they didn't! They allowed the comebacks, but regrouped in each case to go on and take back control and win the game. This speaks volumes! Butler is just flat out a better team than Sparty and with what they've shown me already in the tourney, they won't falter down the stretch like the 3 other teams Michigan St was lucky enough to encounter.

Moving on to Duke. I think you already know how I feel about this team since they were my prediction to cut down the nets before the tourney started. Too many people wrote off Duke and believed they were overrated all year long. This couldn't be further from the truth! This Duke team is typical of past teams except they actually have the post players this year. And with what I saw from Duke against Baylor's zone and team length, Duke should have no problem finding their shots against WV's zone. Matter of fact...if Duke would have made their open looks against Baylor it would have never even been a close game. And if WV wants to try and play man...good luck matching up with them. Again, we have a team that is just flat out better than it's opponent, has more experience, physically healthy and with a better coach...I'll take the Dukies laying a bucket!

NCAA Tourney Overall Record 19-10 +16.7 units
5* 0-1 -5.5 units
4* 2-0 +8 units
3* 3-1 +5.7 units
2* 11-7 +6.6 unit
1* 3-1 +1.9 unit

3* Butler -1
3* Duke -2

NBA Record: 60-48-2 +17.65 units
5* 1-0 +5 units
4* 0-1 -4.4 units
3* 12-6 +16.05 units
2* 38-33-3 +3 units
1* 9-10-1 -2 units

2* Bucks -2
2* Nets +3 (-105)
1* Kings +8